tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Washington via New York: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:18 CLE → 06:59 LGA
    AA 4677 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 41m · 91% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:47 LGA → 12:17 DCA
    AA 4654 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 85% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 183 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 59mCLE 05:18 to DCA 12:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.