tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:11 ILM → 07:56 LGA
    AA 4682 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 46m · 89% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 54m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:50 LGA → 13:57 CLT
    DL 5046 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 07m · 80% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 54m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 46mILM 06:11 to CLT 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.