tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:11 ILM → 07:56 LGA
    AA 4682 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 46m · 89% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:59 LGA → 12:04 CLT
    AA 2043 · American · 2h 05m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 53mILM 06:11 to CLT 12:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.