tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Miami via New York: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:11 ILM → 07:56 LGA
    AA 4682 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 46m · 89% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 LGA → 14:11 MIA
    AA 2945 · American · 3h 11m · 78% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 00mILM 06:11 to MIA 14:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.