tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:11 ILM → 07:56 LGA
    AA 4682 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 46m · 89% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:44 LGA → 11:30 ORD
    AA 3100 · American · 2h 46m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Wilmington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 19mILM 06:11 to ORD 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.