tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Washington via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:11 ILM → 07:56 LGA
    AA 4682 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 46m · 89% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:03 LGA → 10:32 DCA
    AA 4393 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 84% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 21mILM 06:11 to DCA 10:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.