tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Washington via New York: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:11 ILM → 07:56 LGA
    AA 4682 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 46m · 89% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:20 LGA → 12:46 DCA
    DL 5749 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 78% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 35mILM 06:11 to DCA 12:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.