tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:44 ORF → 08:25 ORD
    AA 4683 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 40m · 88% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:30 ORD → 13:59 DTW
    DL 3673 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 29m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 15mORF 06:44 to DTW 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.