tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:44 ORF → 08:25 ORD
    AA 4683 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 40m · 88% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:51 ORD → 14:30 JFK
    AA 4350 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 39m · 85% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 46mORF 06:44 to JFK 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.