tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Greensboro via New York: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:26 DCA → 18:57 LGA
    AA 4685 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 55% on time, 13.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LGA → 22:55 GSO
    AA 4577 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 55m · 72% on time, 10.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (13.7% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (10.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 29mDCA 17:26 to GSO 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.