tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Chattanooga via Washington: arrives on time 38%

  1. 15:09 LGA → 16:46 DCA
    AA 4685 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 33m · 52% on time, 11.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 DCA → 21:57 CHA
    AA 4541 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 58m · 56% on time, 18.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (11.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (18.2% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 48mLGA 15:09 to CHA 21:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.