tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Philadelphia via Boston: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:20 MSN → 10:53 BOS
    AA 4687 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 33m · 93% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:38 BOS → 14:16 PHL
    AA 3043 · American · 1h 38m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 56mMSN 07:20 to PHL 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.