tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:34 MSN → 08:00 ORD
    AA 4688 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 ORD → 12:38 CLT
    AA 2502 · American · 2h 08m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 04mMSN 06:34 to CLT 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.