tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:34 MSN → 08:00 ORD
    AA 4688 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:30 ORD → 13:59 DTW
    DL 3673 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 29m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 25mMSN 06:34 to DTW 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.