tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:34 MSN → 08:00 ORD
    AA 4688 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:29 ORD → 13:44 ATL
    UA 2684 · United · 2h 15m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 10mMSN 06:34 to ATL 13:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.