tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:02 RIC → 08:35 ORD
    AA 4688 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 33m · 89% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:51 ORD → 13:57 BWI
    UA 2653 · United · 2h 06m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 55mRIC 07:02 to BWI 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.