tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Philadelphia via Indianapolis: arrives on time 72%

  1. 09:59 DCA → 11:57 IND
    AA 4701 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 59m · 88% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:36 IND → 15:37 PHL
    AA 5240 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 01m · 81% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 38mDCA 09:59 to PHL 15:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.