tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Greensboro via New York: arrives on time 35%

  1. 18:19 DCA → 19:49 LGA
    AA 4702 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 51% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LGA → 22:55 GSO
    AA 4577 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 55m · 72% on time, 10.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (10.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 36mDCA 18:19 to GSO 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.