tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 74%

  1. 08:41 BNA → 12:17 JFK
    AA 4712 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 36m · 83% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 JFK → 17:04 ORF
    AA 4359 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 83% on time, 6.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (6.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 28mBNA 08:41 to ORF 17:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.