tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Grand Rapids via Chicago: arrives on time 23%

  1. 20:00 BWI → 21:32 ORD
    AA 4717 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 31m · 68% on time, 13.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:32 ORD → 00:36 GRR +1 day
    AA 1096 · American · 1h 04m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (13.9% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip4h 36mBWI 20:00 to GRR 00:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.