tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Charlotte via Baltimore: arrives on time 26%

  1. 16:18 ORD → 19:28 BWI
    AA 4717 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 13m · 61% on time, 12.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 BWI → 21:55 CLT
    AA 1637 · American · 1h 37m · 63% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (12.5% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 35mORD 16:18 to CLT 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.