Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Syracuse via Washington: arrives on time 32%

  1. 19:50 LGA → 21:26 DCA
    AA 4719 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 36m · 64% on time, 21.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 DCA → 00:20 SYR +1 day
    AA 3975 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 21m · 58% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (21.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 30mLGA 19:50 to SYR 00:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.