Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Buffalo via Washington: arrives on time 20%
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19:50 LGA → 21:26 DCAAA 4719 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 36m · 64% on time, 21.4% cancelled
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1h 04m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:30 DCA → 23:56 BUFAA 5054 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 26m · 48% on time, 19.4% cancelled
Total trip 4h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (21.4% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (19.4% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip4h 06mLGA 19:50 to BUF 23:56, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.