tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 48%

  1. 16:03 MSP → 17:59 ORD
    AA 4727 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 56m · 75% on time, 11.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:17 ORD → 21:52 TPA
    AA 353 · American · 2h 50m · 63% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 18 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (11.1% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 04mMSP 16:03 to TPA 21:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.