tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Asheville via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:03 MSP → 17:59 ORD
    AA 4727 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 56m · 75% on time, 11.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 ORD → 00:23 AVL +1 day
    AA 3493 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 54m · 73% on time, 13.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 18 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (11.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (13.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 20mMSP 16:03 to AVL 00:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.