tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Oklahoma City via New York: arrives on time 53%

  1. 13:59 DCA → 15:35 LGA
    AA 4730 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 62% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 LGA → 22:05 OKC
    AA 4526 · American, flown by Republic · 4h 06m · 66% on time, 8.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 159 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (8.8% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 06mDCA 13:59 to OKC 22:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.