tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → New York via Cleveland: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:40 DCA → 08:16 CLE
    AA 4737 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Cleveland (CLE) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:46 CLE → 13:29 JFK
    DL 5018 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 44m · 83% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 50mDCA 06:40 to JFK 13:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.