tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → New York via Boston: arrives on time 28%

  1. 14:32 ILM → 16:44 BOS
    AA 4738 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 12m · 62% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:51 BOS → 19:19 LGA
    AA 4632 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 28m · 49% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip4h 47mILM 14:32 to LGA 19:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.