tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Charlotte via Philadelphia: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:22 ORF → 18:49 PHL
    AA 4749 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 69% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 PHL → 21:38 CLT
    AA 1661 · American · 2h 03m · 71% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 16mORF 17:22 to CLT 21:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.