tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Detroit via Philadelphia: arrives on time 58%

  1. 17:22 ORF → 18:49 PHL
    AA 4749 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 69% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 PHL → 23:09 DTW
    AA 5418 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 54m · 74% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 47mORF 17:22 to DTW 23:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.