tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Charlotte via Philadelphia: arrives on time 73%

  1. 07:37 SDF → 09:38 PHL
    AA 4750 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 01m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 PHL → 12:23 CLT
    AA 1180 · American · 1h 53m · 83% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 46mSDF 07:37 to CLT 12:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.