tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Boston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:37 SDF → 09:38 PHL
    AA 4750 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 01m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 PHL → 12:03 BOS
    AA 1416 · American · 1h 33m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 26mSDF 07:37 to BOS 12:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.