tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Houston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:37 SDF → 09:38 PHL
    AA 4750 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 01m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:02 PHL → 15:47 IAH
    AA 1925 · American · 3h 45m · 81% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 159 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 10mSDF 07:37 to IAH 15:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.