tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Tampa via Philadelphia: arrives on time 69%

  1. 07:37 SDF → 09:38 PHL
    AA 4750 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 01m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 47m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 PHL → 17:10 TPA
    AA 2412 · American · 2h 45m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 242 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 47m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip9h 33mSDF 07:37 to TPA 17:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.