tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Phoenix via Philadelphia: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:37 SDF → 09:38 PHL
    AA 4750 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 01m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 19m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:57 PHL → 15:57 PHX
    AA 765 · American · 5h 10m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 214 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 19m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip11h 30mSDF 07:37 to PHX 15:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.