tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Houston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:37 SDF → 09:38 PHL
    AA 4750 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 01m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:04 PHL → 15:35 IAH
    UA 2038 · United · 3h 31m · 87% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 58mSDF 07:37 to IAH 15:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.