tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:37 SDF → 09:38 PHL
    AA 4750 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 01m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:22 PHL → 12:32 MDW
    WN 3224 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 88% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 55mSDF 07:37 to MDW 12:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.