tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Phoenix via Washington: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:02 PIT → 14:20 DCA
    AA 4757 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 18m · 69% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:01 DCA → 19:50 PHX
    AA 3191 · American · 4h 49m · 62% on time, 10.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Pittsburgh). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 176 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (10.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip9h 48mPIT 13:02 to PHX 19:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.