tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Miami via New York: arrives on time 27%

  1. 15:43 CLE → 17:30 LGA
    AA 4758 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 70% on time, 8.5% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:24 LGA → 21:48 MIA
    AA 716 · American · 3h 24m · 48% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (8.5% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip6h 05mCLE 15:43 to MIA 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.