tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Aspen via Chicago: arrives on time 26%

  1. 17:17 ATL → 18:53 ORD
    AA 4759 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 33m · 58% on time, 9.1% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:49 ORD → 21:56 ASE
    AA 6186 · American, flown by SkyWest · 3h 07m · 63% on time, 11.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Aspen is 2 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (9.1% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (11.4% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 39mATL 17:17 to ASE 21:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.