tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 18%

  1. 17:17 ATL → 18:53 ORD
    AA 4759 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 33m · 58% on time, 9.1% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:40 ORD → 21:25 BNA
    AA 6326 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 53% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (9.1% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 08mATL 17:17 to BNA 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.