tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Columbus via New York: arrives on time 39%

  1. 14:56 DCA → 16:33 LGA
    AA 4773 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 64% on time, 9.9% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:29 LGA → 19:38 CMH
    AA 4462 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 07m · 77% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (9.9% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 40mDCA 14:56 to CMH 19:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.