tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Bangor via Washington: arrives on time 38%

  1. 17:20 LGA → 18:58 DCA
    AA 4773 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 76% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:04 DCA → 23:59 BGR
    AA 5436 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 55m · 51% on time, 17.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (17.1% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 39mLGA 17:20 to BGR 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.