Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Knoxville via Washington: arrives on time 34%

  1. 17:20 LGA → 18:58 DCA
    AA 4773 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 76% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:46 DCA → 21:33 TYS
    AA 5484 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 47m · 59% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 13mLGA 17:20 to TYS 21:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.