tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:10 DSM → 11:00 LGA
    AA 4795 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 49m · 82% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:14 LGA → 13:59 ORD
    AA 2079 · American · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 50mDSM 07:10 to ORD 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.