tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Providence via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:28 MSP → 08:20 ORD
    AA 4803 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 52m · 88% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:45 ORD → 14:25 PVD
    UA 4703 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 40m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Providence is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 57mMSP 06:28 to PVD 14:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.