tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Cleveland via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:28 MSP → 08:20 ORD
    AA 4803 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 52m · 88% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 ORD → 14:02 CLE
    AA 4949 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 86% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 34mMSP 06:28 to CLE 14:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.