tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Richmond via Chicago: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:28 MSP → 08:20 ORD
    AA 4803 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 52m · 88% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:35 ORD → 13:57 RIC
    UA 3704 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 22m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 29mMSP 06:28 to RIC 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.