tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Los Angeles via New York: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:15 RDU → 07:12 JFK
    AA 4805 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 56m · 92% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 JFK → 11:58 LAX
    AA 1 · American · 5h 58m · 87% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 43mRDU 05:15 to LAX 11:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.