tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Boston via New York: arrives on time 84%

  1. 05:15 RDU → 07:12 JFK
    AA 4805 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 56m · 92% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:24 JFK → 09:48 BOS
    AA 4376 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 24m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 33mRDU 05:15 to BOS 09:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.